Recent statistics indicate that the number of new coronavirus infections daily in England is likely to have decreased significantly. Based on the new calculations, the reproducibility rate R, which indicates the prevalence rate, also decreased, according to the MTI.
According to a weekly survey by the British Statistics Office (ONS) on Friday, there were 664,700 people living with the Coronavirus in England – by far the most populous part of the UK with a population of 56 million – in the week ending November 14.
The Office for National Statistics reported that its calculation methodology shows that there were 7.14 new cases of coronavirus per day for every 10,000 people in England during the period under review, instead of 8.38 the previous week and 9.52 two weeks earlier.
This means that the number of new infections per day in England in the one-week period ending on November 14 fell from 38 to 52,000 new infections per day, which had been relatively stable over a longer period of time, measured in previous weeks.
The Office for National Statistics estimates that there could be 51,900 new cases of coronavirus in the last week of October on average daily.
The statistical office measures the prevalence of coronavirus infection using methods other than government. The British Department of Health lists new infections that have undoubtedly been confirmed by examining the Coronavirus in its daily data reports, while the Office for National Statistics defines process curves that cover a wide range of data, including estimates, in its weekly reports.
According to the British Ministry of Health, 22,915 cases of coronavirus were tested across the UK in the 24 hours that ended Thursday night.
Nationwide, more than 37 million coronavirus tests have been performed so far, of which 1.45 million have become positive.
According to the UK government’s calculation methodology, which takes into account deaths within 28 days of being diagnosed with coronavirus, there have been 53,619 deaths in the coronavirus epidemic in the UK so far.
New calculations by the UK government’s Standards Scientific Advisory Board (SAGE) have also reduced the “R” reproductive rate, which is currently between 1-1.1 across the UK.
This means that ten infected people transmit the coronavirus infection to an average of 10-11 more people. SAGE had expected an R rate of 1.1 to 1.3 in the previous weeks.
UK health authorities estimate that at the height of the spring of the coronavirus epidemic in the UK, an “R” would have been around 3.5 on the national average, which means that it could have transmitted the virus to ten infected people 35 People at the time. This implies an exponential rate of spread in the spring months.
The new data does not yet reflect the effects of the restrictive measures in place in England for a period of four weeks on 5 November.
The government’s stated goal is to reduce the reproductive rate R to less than 1 with these measures, as this would also be a reliable sign that the coronavirus epidemic is in decline.
Featured image: WIktor Szymanowicz / NurPhoto / AFP
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