Independent banks and experts expect a 1.3-2 percent increase in local GDP.
Errest Bank modified the Romania diagnosis of economic growth in 2025 in 2025, writes Economedia.ro. Experts at the financial institution expect the economy to improve the performance of the economy in all countries of the Central Eastern region, with the exception of Croatia and Slovakia. “Unfortunately, the recovery will not be strong as we were hoping at the end of 2024,” and reads the Erste report.
Bank analysts now expect a 2 percent increase in GDP in Romania, while they get 2.8 percent.
Barch Internet Bank is less optimistic about this year's horizons. Lucian Angel, CEO of the Finance Corporation, sees only 1.6 percent economic growth in 2025.
The Romanian Working Group for the Roman Economic Observatory at the University of Babeș-Bolyai is quieter, and it is expected that GDP will grow by 1.5 percent. With the most pessimistic scenario, CFA Romania, the professional organization of local financial analysts, has reached the latest 1.3 percent forecast.
The government is on the basis of a 2.5 percent economic budget for economic growth. These expectations were conducted by the National Committee for Strategy and Power (CNSP), whose expectations are fully reliable on an annual basis.
Last year, CNSP expected an increase of 3.4 percent in GDP, of which 0.9 percent, with no unexpected event that has a major impact on the performance of the local economy.